Two different survey reports have come up with contradicting results the report compiled by the university of Colombo revels that the common opposition has the lead while the report compiled reveals that Mahinda is the front runner.
The research report compiled by the University of Colombo states that Presidential candidate of the common opposition – Maithripala Sirisena is at the lead after securing 53% of the public mandate.
The report, released on Dec. 27, has focused on a sample of around 1,000 persons covering all districts except the Northern province.
The reports cites that Maithripala Sirisena will win the election with a majority of 200,000 votes with 28% of those who voted for President Mahinda Rajapaksa at the 2010 presidential election now deciding to vote for Maithripala instead.
In addition, 11% of those who voted for President Mahinda Rajapaksa at the 2010 presidential election are yet undecided, the report adds.
However, the 38% of mandate of first-time voters goes to Rajapaksa while Sirisena has secured only 33%. The remaining percentage remains undecided on a candidate.
The research, is mainly based on the Sinhalese vote base and it has been assumed that the Tamil and Muslim votes will be divided equally among the two main contenders.
Also, the report says that 13-15% remain undecided on whether they will exercise their franchise.
The research is done by a team led by Dr. Lalithasiri Gunaruwan and Dr. D.S. Jayaweera.
Kelaniya 53% for Mahinda
A survey conducted by the University of Kelaniya states that President Mahinda Rajapaksa will win the 2015 Presidential Election by obtaining 53% of votes.
This was revealed by Prof.Rohana Luxman Piyadasa, Head of the Dept. of Mass Communication Unit of the Kelaniya University briefing the media today (31) at the Sri Lanka Foundation Institute.
According to the said survey the Common Opposition Candidate Maithripala Sirisena will obtain 44% of votes while 3% of voters may abstain from voting he added.
He further said that 5% had not responded at all.
This survey has been conducted in two stages. One has been done before giving nominations under ‘Most Popular Political Character’. Under the second phase, which was done after commencement of election campaigns, 5000 voters were selected randomly covering 25 districts. The survey was conducted in Sinhala and Tamil mediums basing the new electoral register according to ethnicity, gender, population composition, profession and age.
Meanwhile, a research report compiled by the University of Colombo stated that Presidential candidate of the common opposition – Maithripala Sirisena is at the lead after securing 53% of the public mandate.